now, you have basically romney at 169, obama at 184. this is electoral votes. 270 needed to win lean obama 53. lean romney 57. 95 toss-up. looking at this map, you think that president obama still has the advantage to win the election. i see it as romney now has the advantage. >> i'm with you. see, look, take a look at that map. virginia is -- we're doing a two week rolling average for our monday bret baier special on the electoral college. when you look at virginia, last week there were five polls, thursday, friday, saturday. romney won four of them. by next monday those 13 electoral votes in virginia i think are going to be pointed toward romney. we have tennessee which is light pink. that's. >> north carolina. it's really going to come down to ohio and one other state. today in colorado, romney leads. today in new hampshire romney leads. the race is dead even, my suspicion, by monday in ohio. and we have got a barn burner. >> bill: you are not even talking about florida, which i believe the governor is going to win. >> florida, the r